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PT_BR 
The first corn crop has already surpassed the harvest by 90% and should have the highest average productivity in history for the crop. This is one of the information brought in Subjective Crop Forecast (SCP), released this Thursday (27) by the Department of Rural Economy (Deral), of the State Secretariat of Agriculture and Supply of Paraná (Seab).
The estimate for the production of the first corn harvest is 2.8 million tons, 13% more than last year, which was 2.5 million, in a smaller area of 268.3 thousand hectares, and 9% less than in 2024, which was 294.3 hectares, this with an average productivity of 10,627 kilos per hectare, the highest in history, which stands out compared to the 8,582 kg/ha of the previous year.
Photo: Gilson Abreu
According to Deral analyst Edmar Gervásio, the market is favorable to the producer, who is receiving around R$$ 70 per bag. “The producer has prices that have increased by over R$40% when compared to the same period last year. And this
It also had a lower implementation cost compared to the previous one,” he says.
But future prices tend to be lower. The Deral analyst also explains that expectations for the global harvest are good and that planting in the United States, the largest producer of the cereal, begins in April and should see an increase in area.
However, expectations for the second harvest of the crop are not so good. The lack of rain in March, combined with high temperatures, should affect the harvest that is still in development, but which, for now, has an estimated production of 15.9 million tons.
Soy
Weather conditions continue to lower expectations for the soybean harvest. The current survey predicts 21.06 million tons. In February, the estimate was 21.18 million. The harvest of 5.76 million hectares reached 90% this week, giving more reliability to the numbers.
Photos: Rafael Althoff
“At the beginning of the harvest, production of 22.23 million tons was expected, however, irregular weather conditions in much of the state impacted productivity,” highlighted Edmar Gervásio. The phenomenon was observed mainly in the West and North of the state. These two regions are responsible for 43% of the area. On the other hand, the South region has been a positive surprise, with productivity gains.
According to the analyst, the loss of 1.17 million tons (5.3%) represents R$2.3 billion less being transacted in the State, in current values. “Even with the losses recorded in the field, the harvest is still good for the producer, as it had lower costs for planting and the average selling price this year is approximately R$13% higher than in March 2024”, said Gervásio.
Olericulture
The 2nd potato harvest has shown good productivity, the onion harvest was completed with revised results, and the first tomato harvest is in the final stages of harvest with good yield. The 2nd tomato harvest faces productivity challenges. Regarding prices, tomatoes stood out with an increase in wholesale prices, while potatoes and onions showed significant annual declines, reflecting supply and demand conditions.
The 2nd potato harvest has already been planted 92% and has grown 16% in four weeks, with an estimated production of 342.6 thousand tons at 31.2 t/ha. Regarding prices, wholesale potatoes showed an annual drop of 58.33%. The price this week was assessed at R$ 55.00 per 25-kilo bag, a value that, in March of last year, was R$ 120.00.
The 2024/25 onion harvest ended with a harvest of 129.1 thousand tons on 3.2 thousand hectares. This represents 2% less than February last year. On the other hand, productivity was 39.8 t/ha, 2.3% more than expected. In February, the wholesale price of onions was R$ 22.32 per 20-kilo bag, compared to R$ 55.63 last year, an annual drop of 59.9%.
The first crop of tomatoes has been practically planted in an area of 2.5 thousand hectares. 99% have already been harvested, totaling 156.8 thousand tons of the 170.9 thousand tons expected. The second crop has already been planted with 82% and harvested with 32%, with a productivity of 28.1 t/ha, a much lower number compared to the 75.1 t/ha expected.
This also impacted prices. At wholesale, tomatoes showed an annual increase of 25%, but also a significant monthly increase. The 20-kilo box, which was R$ 90 in February, increased to R$ 150 last week. An increase of 66.7%. The heat waves at the beginning of the year combined with the new pest in tomato plants may have contributed to this scenario.
Winter crops
Photo: Gilson Abreu
As usual, in March Deral publishes the first planting intentions for winter crops, such as oats, canola, rye, barley, wheat and triticale, which indicate that in 2025 it is possible for Paraná to produce 3.8 million tons of these crops, 30% more than last year, but in an area 15% smaller, from 1.5 million to 1.2 million.
The second crop of beans remains stable compared to last month and is good for the producer. The expectation is to harvest 610.6 thousand tons in an area of 332 thousand hectares.
With current estimates and the first forecasts of winter crops, the document also indicates the estimated total grain production in Paraná for 2025 at 45 million tons – 19% higher than last year – in an area of 10.5 million hectares.
Bulletin
Deral also released this Thursday the Agricultural Situation Bulletin. In addition to discussing some products that are part of the Paraná harvest, the document addresses the expectation of better prices for dairy cattle producers, due to lower industrial capture and increased exports.
There is also text about the record number of pig slaughters in 2024, even though there is a decline in meat production due to the reduction in the average weight of the animals. Egg production in Brazil reached a record in 2024, with Paraná maintaining second place, with 459.114 million dozen.
