The 2025/26 harvest is expected to mark another cycle of expansion in grain production in Brazil. According to the first planting intention survey conducted by the consultancy Datagro Grãos, the country is expected to increase soybean acreage for the 19th consecutive year, reaching 49.1 million hectares, an increase of 2% compared to the 48.1 million hectares planted in the current season.

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Even with high production costs and a still-conservative price scenario in the international market, factors such as positive income expectations, the consolidation of the soybean model in summer and corn/cotton/wheat in winter, and a more optimistic climate outlook support producers' decision to continue investing in the oilseed. There is also a tendency for soybean to advance into degraded pastureland.
With relatively favorable weather conditions and maintained technological standards, the expected national average yield is 3,722 kg/ha, a figure that, if confirmed, will surpass the current record of 3,614 kg/ha by 3%. This results in a potential production of 182.9 million tons of soybeans, 5% above the 173.5 million tons harvested in 2024/25.
Corn's trend is equally positive. Driven by higher prices compared to the previous year, especially in the first months of 2025, expected good profitability, and increased domestic demand, the cereal is expected to expand in both harvests.
The first corn crop, planted in the summer, is expected to reach 4 million hectares, an increase of 4% compared to the 3.8 million hectares of the current harvest. Datagro estimates average yield at 6,855 kg/ha, up from the previously recorded 6,646 kg/ha, projecting a production of 27.4 million tons, an increase of 8%.

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The second crop, which accounts for more than 801 TP4T of national grain production, is also expected to increase. The cultivated area could reach 18.6 million hectares, a new record, an increase of 21 TP4T over the 18.2 million hectares of 2024/25. The expected average yield is 6,096 kg/ha, which should result in 113.5 million tons harvested in the second crop, 11 TP4T higher than the previous season.
Combined, the two corn harvests are expected to yield 140.9 million tons, representing a new historical record for the cereal in the country and an increase of 2% compared to 2024/25.
Datagro's projections reinforce Brazil's position as one of the world's leading grain suppliers, while also highlighting its capacity to expand production through the adoption of technologies and the occupation of less productive areas.