EN 
PT_BR 
The production of cotton Brazilian cotton production is expected to grow in the 2026/27 harvest, even with expectations of a drop in productivity. According to data released by the National Supply Company (Conab), the cultivated area should increase by 3.68% compared to the 2025/26 cycle, reaching 2.09 million hectares, while cottonseed production should reach 10.05 million tons.
The expansion of the cultivated area should offset some of the expected reduction in productivity. According to data released by Conab, the yield is expected to decrease by 3.23% compared to the projection for the 2025/26 harvest.
The decline is related to uncertainties about the potential climatic impacts associated with the El Niño phenomenon on cotton crops in the country.
Among the producing states, Rondônia has the highest expected percentage growth in area, with an increase of 28.79%. Maranhão and Piauí follow, with projected increases of 9.48% and 8.29%, respectively.
Mato Grosso, the main national producer, is expected to register an expansion of 3,38% in cultivated area. Although the percentage is lower than that projected for Rondônia, Maranhão, and Piauí, the state should show the largest absolute increase in area among the producing units.
With the expansion of the planted area, Brazilian production is expected to reach 10.05 million tons of seed cotton in the 2026/27 crop season.
According to data released by Conab, the volume represents an increase of 0.33% compared to the estimate for the 2025/26 season.
The projected scenario combines a larger cultivated area with lower productivity. Therefore, the expansion of planting should compensate for some of the expected losses in crop yields and sustain the growth of national production. The outlook for the next harvest is still contingent on weather patterns and the potential effects of El Niño on the main producing regions.
