EN 
PT_BR 
Amid climate and economic challenges, Brazilian grain production is expected to reach a new record in the 2025/26 harvest. Initial projections point to a harvest of 353.8 million tons, an increase of 1% compared to the previous cycle (350.2 million tons). The data are part of the 13th edition of the publication "Perspectives for Agriculture 2025/2026," released this Thursday (18) by the National Supply Company (Conab) in partnership with Banco do Brasil (BB).
According to the survey, the result is influenced by the expansion of cultivated area, which is expected to increase from 81.74 million to 84.24 million hectares. Meanwhile, the national average productivity is projected at 4,199 kilograms per hectare, a decrease of 2% compared to the 2024/25 season.
Conab president Edegar Pretto emphasized that the figures demonstrate rural producers' confidence and the importance of agricultural credit policies. "Investments are available, with a record volume of resources and special conditions, such as negative real interest rates for food production. Furthermore, producers' expertise and the growing use of technology reaffirm Brazil's position as a leading global supplier of food, fiber, and bioenergy," he stated.
Soybeans should secure a new record
Soybeans, the country's main crop, are expected to reach 177.67 million tons in 2025/26, an increase of 3.6% over the previous cycle. This growth is driven by the increase in planted area and the recovery in productivity in Rio Grande do Sul. Global demand remains strong, supported by increasing use in the feed sector and biofuel production.
Corn tends to lose steam
Despite the expansion in area, corn production is expected to decline 1% compared to the previous cycle, totaling 138.3 million tons. The decline reflects the expectation of lower average productivity after an exceptional harvest in 2024/25. Demand, however, remains strong, driven by the ethanol sector and the export market.
With pressure from high supply in Brazil and the international market, rice planted area is expected to fall from 1.76 million to 1.66 million hectares. Expected production is 11.5 million tons, a 4.8% drop in the national average yield. Even so, the volume guarantees domestic supply.
The Conab study also includes projections for beef, pork, and poultry, as well as analyses by Banco do Brasil on rural credit and sustainability in the field.
