Even with the imposition of higher tariffs by the United States, Brazilian beef exports continue to rise this year. In the first half of 2025, shipments to the North American market exceeded 181,000 tons, more than double the 85,000 tons recorded in the same period in 2024.
Despite the positive performance, the recent announcement of an additional tariff of 50% by the US government is already having repercussions on the domestic market. According to a Cepea survey, this week the price of beef was R$ 296.10, the first time it has been below R$ 300.00 since October of last year.
The impact of the new tariff was also analyzed in the Agricultural Situation Bulletin from the Department of Rural Economy (Deral), for the week of July 18-24. In the document, the experts emphasize that, unlike cattle farming, fish farming in Paraná should not suffer significant effects, even with the higher US taxes.
In 2024, Paraná exported 7.6 thousand tons of fish to the North American market, generating revenue of US$34.3 million (approximately R$200 million). According to Edmar Gervásio, a fish farming analyst at Deral, even with the possible implementation of the tariff, the two main Paraná cooperatives involved in exports are expected to maintain operations. "The current focus is on opening and consolidating a new market segment, rather than making immediate profits," he explains.
With combined annual revenue exceeding R$1.5 billion, these cooperatives would see an impact of less than R$4 billion from the measure. "In an extreme scenario, where exports are completely halted, the domestic market is fully capable of absorbing this volume without causing imbalances or price fluctuations," Gervásio assesses.
The bulletin also provides updates on production costs in pig and poultry farming. In the first half of the year, the average production cost of live pigs in Paraná was R$ 6.17 per kilogram—an increase of R$ 0.57 compared to the same period in 2024, driven primarily by higher feed prices.
In live chicken production, the cost reached R$ 4.72 per kilogram in June, R% 3.11 more than the same month last year (R$ 4.58). Over the last 12 months, the largest increases were observed in genetics and health.